Sunday 21 June 2015

The Cold War, redux






“Figueres is on record saying democracy is a poor political system for fighting global warming. Communist China, she says, is the best model. This is not about facts or logic. It’s about a new world order under the control of the UN. It is opposed to capitalism and freedom and has made environmental catastrophism a household topic to achieve its objective.” (Maurice Newman, The UN is using climate change as a tool not an issue’, The Australian May 8 2015)*

I find the above quote  - from an opinion piece by Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott’s chief business adviser Maurice Newman (both depicted above) – actually rather encouraging in its implication that global warming is a communist plot against the free capitalist world (Newman is, of course, merely one of the most recent and most politically high-profile figures to express this viewpoint which has been a staple of global warming deniers for eons, particularly those in the US). 

My encouragement stems from the fact that Newman doesn’t bring up the standard denialist canard about the scientific evidence for global warming being based upon ‘junk science’ – but instead jumps straight into arguing against the science on ideological grounds of nationalism and capitalism. In this respect Newman is perhaps indicative of an overall shift in paradigms of global warming denial. Where these arguments used to be based on appeals to both ‘hearts and minds’ – e.g. the Mann hockey stick graph of global temperature rises was based on flawed data and biased interpretation (mind) and Al Gore is a liberal seditionary who wants to undermine America’s god-given freedoms by imposing authoritarian control over people’s lives under the pretext of environmental legislation (heart) – they now increasingly appear to be appeals based squarely in the latter camp. 

A combination of increasingly comprehensive multi-disciplinary scientific reports on global warming (such as the IPCC’s annual efforts) and – crucially – substantial changes to weather patterns that locals can actually experience, usually in an adverse fashion (e.g. yearly droughts and increased flooding) appear to have tilted the popular perception of global warming towards begrudging acceptance of the science (the recent encyclical by Pope Francis advocating environmentalism as a core tent of Catholicism is a potent signifier of such a shift). 

While scientific-based denial will still be around for a long time yet (to, unfortunately, use another Oz-based example, witness professional contrarian Bjorn Lomborg being welcomed to spread the gospel of fossil fuel-based freedom by the Abbott government) the overall shift in denialist tack to emotive arguments rooted in nationalism bodes well for science. When the ideological arguments put forwards by the likes of Newman are this hokey and risible – a rehash of Cold War anti-Communist paranoia – then it seems more likely that the majority of the populace will accept the scientific consensus rather than ideologically-based denial.  And in the early 21st century – in which China is rapidly surpassing the USA as the cornerstone of the global capitalist economic system – does anyone outside of aging fundamentalist right-wingers really think the Chinese have an agenda to implement a Communist takeover of the world? 



*Note: I initially was able to read Newman’s opinion piece through the Australian website, but when I returned to link to it for this post it was classified as subscriber only. So a representative news item (from the Sydney Morning Herald) will have to serve as a documentary substitute of the contemporary debate surrounding Newman’s statements.


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